Embattled governor can’t throw everyone else under the bus fast enough to cover for the rest of the blue wall
I took a lot of heat for all of my 2020 election assessments, especially my recalculated margins based on legitimate trends based on historical change and voter registration. One of my “would have been close” assessments was for New Jersey, where I assumed Joe Biden would have only beaten Donald Trump by +5.5%, not the ridiculous +15.9% margin that was certified:
That assessment was based on Trump’s enormous vote gain over his 2016 performance and other analytical holes my methodology accounts for. And, what do you know? In 2024, with the ballot collection dialed down substantially, here’s where the Harris-Trump race came in:
Harris +5.9%.
I had very similar accountings manifest with Virginia, Illinois, and California, among other states. As I’ve laid out in The American War on Election Corruption, these states run elections that are rigged by which laws they carry on the books, primarily:
- Automatic Voter Registration
- Universal Mail-In Voting (or expanded mail-in voting)
- Ballot Harvesting
New Jersey has had Automatic Voter Registration since 2018, and it had enough time to detonate any remaining integrity in the state’s voter roll prior to Biden’s enormous ballot explosion defying all previous Democrat growth potential. They don’t have Universal postal voting, but in 2020, more than 90% of the vote came through the mail thanks to the state’s Democrat leaders pulling out all the stops to ensure there would be no chance of a Trump upset (remember, Trump kicked the tires on the Garden State before COVID-19 hit). Ballot harvesting, as I described in the book with a major DOJ bust in New Jersey under Biden, is criminalized – but hard to detect and certainly at work as proven by convictions.
Which brings us to the first fruits of Trump’s primetime address held on July 16 and made evident by Governor Mikie Sherrill rushing to cover her ass this week. I have made my address summary piece available to all for reference.
If you recall, the President’s fifth and final point in his address outlining exploitation and known vulnerabilities of our extant elections system revealed that the Department of Homeland Security found over 278,000 non-citizens registered to vote in four states. Those states were California (the Democrat mother ship), Pennsylvania, Nevada, and, you guessed it, New Jersey. The investigation reviewed just a sliver of these states’ voter rolls, and with an exhaustive audit and a full review of the other 46 states’ rolls, how many non-citizens should we expect registered nationwide? Those four states account for 93 of 538 electoral college votes, or 17.3% of the national total. So – multiply the 278,000 times 6 and we are not far from 2 million non-citizens likely on the rolls.
Therefore, I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Sherrill ran an impromptu press conference to “disclose” the issue that confirms exactly what Trump briefed on Thursday, outing her state for having roughly 6,600 non-citizens on the rolls, and about 400 votes from that bunch (6.1% of those registered). It is very unsurprising to me that, despite being busted, she still refuses to comply with the Department of Justice to hand over this information.
From CBS:
“It is not a surprise to me … that the Trump administration wants to immediately weaponize this against people as opposed to focusing on making sure we’re running free and fair elections,” Sherrill said.
Sherrill maintains she is launching her own investigation, which reminds me of the time one of my commanders served as the unit sexual harassment prevention officer despite constantly operating as close to that line as possible. There will be no accountability (if Sherrill can help it) because she’s hiding the real truth and we only see the tip of the iceberg.
The 6,600 non-citizens make up roughly 0.1%, or one in one thousand, of the voter roll. Their 400 votes are not insignificant, especially if you recall the handful of votes separating two mayoral candidates in Sioux Falls in recent weeks, or the 280 measly ballots out of more than 2.5 million cast separating now-Congressman Abraham Hamadeh from Kris Mayes in Arizona’s 2022 Attorney General’s race fiasco:
Still, I remain bearish on claims that illegal aliens and non-citizens personally vote in statistically significant numbers. I realize there are busts here and there, but these people are eager to hide and not be easily identifiable or placed first in line to get shipped out. I believe this population is voted for. Their “accidental” inclusion on the voter rolls is a feature, not a bug, of Automatic Voter Registration, lest you forget the disparity between states operating AVR and those that don’t:
The 0.1% of the New Jersey voter roll that Sherrill volunteers is populated by non-citizens pales in comparison to what the DOJ or an independent auditor would find when identifying and quantifying these categories:
- Deceased voters
- Voters who have moved in-state to a new address
- Voters who have moved out of state
- Completely fictitious voters such as those involved in the Muskegon County registration fraud ring disclosed by the President
Independent canvassers in Wisconsin found this sort of corruption after the 2020 election, which is incredible given that Wisconsin doesn’t operate AVR:
23 registered voters per apartment building, located in the capital city and near the massive University of Wisconsin? These are former student registrations left behind, quite obviously. Yet this is exactly the type of situation exploited by those looking to cheat by mail. Look at Washington State, with this woman’s story that has been conveniently memory-holed:
A personal story: I moved from Parker County, Texas, to Pima County, Arizona, in 2023. Parker County is a landslide 80/20 GOP county in any given statewide election, and not a county I would suspect would partake in any sort of deliberate election corruption (which doesn’t mean the results are 100% on the up-and-up). I did the responsible thing and called the county to ask them to remove my registration, and was asked to send in a letter with a wet ink signature to enact the removal.
How many people do you think are bothering to call, and furthermore, bothering to send the required administrative action? I, like most, had no intention of submitting an illegal ballot in Parker County, but by taking advantage of the flooded voter registration system, activists and political machines have destroyed the integrity of our national elections system.
Mikie Sherrill conducted a limited hangout of corruption hoping to appear responsible and cut off the Trump administration from spilling the beans. What she is doing is letting the tip of the iceberg be shown, while covering up mountains of corruption impacting the sovereign votes of the citizens of New Jersey. It is likely, when accounting for all forms of voter roll corruption, that hundreds of thousands of registrations should be invalidated in New Jersey, not just 6,600 – and it is of vital national importance that the Trump administration use all means necessary to get the truth.
Seth Keshel, MBA is a Fellow at the Gold Institute for International Strategy and a retired Army Captain. He publishes Captain K’s Corner on Substack.
